Monday, October 30, 2006

It has been quite a week on Enasni. Our landing team originally had five members, and we dispatched 3 to do survey work in the mountain region of Evol. We believe that while collecting data on homesteads in the region, they fell under the enchanting spell of the mists of mount Z, fell in love with members of the local tribe, and have undergone the ceremonial marriage ritual. Or, they have been eaten. Either way, we expect not to hear from them again.

Before we lost the team members we were developing a hypothesis regarding the Naem fish, a staple of the Enasni diet. First, we were comparing statistical samples of fish we collected from the famed Yrd River to historical data collected by the Enasni government. Testing our population mean and sample means, we determined that our sample seems to be representative, follows a normal curve and conforms to the central limit theorem. However, there seems to be some substantial changes in the fish population since the Enasni authorities last conducted any research. Namely, the Naem fish we are sampling today have two heads.

Our first hypothesis was “the fish have two heads or they do not.” This meant our significance test had two tails. Recalling that not every fish in our sample had two heads, (some had three) we considered a hypothesis that the number of fish caught each season with two or more heads would be less than or equal to 90%. This would give us many fish, many heads, but only one tail. So, depending on how we frame our research question we could have one headed fish with multiple tails or multiple headed fish with one tail. The choice was mind boggling and we became very confused. So, we decided to simply drink and bring an end to this tale. For now…

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